Straight off the bat I don’t believe Tyreek Hill is out of the doghouse with the NFL (see Elliott, Ezekiel; mid-season suspension for a ‘closed case’) just yet and the rumors of Kansas City shopping him, although quiet whispers at best, are enough to bother me. I love the move for Odell Beckham, Jr. to Cleveland - but they have a stack of options and I don’t believe Baker Mayfield will just lock in on him only. Ben Roethlisberger will, however, lock in on the one guy he trusts and target him constantly making Juju Smith-Schuster for me the guy to take in this range.
Here we are at the beginning of the 2018 redraft season. Some deeper league slow drafts are starting to prop up and casual gamers are starting to hit the mock draft lobbies. That, in turn, has started to show fluctuations and inconsistencies with ADP. If you have been following along all offseason, it could throw the proverbial spanner in your ‘works’ as to where you thought players might go in the draft. Some guys that go early may seem like a reach right now. Ah yes! Those three little letters that can tilt the crap out of #fantasytwitter because people must be right - all the time - and everyone else must be wrong - all the time. Our memories are now shorter with recency bias. They are inflated by the offseason madness of coaching changes and rookies hitting their stride. Shout-out to 2018’s Jordan Howard and Jarvis Landry hype trains from the online preachers. Neither really mattered, nor did any ‘hot takes’ as the kids all said last year. But you know by now, I thrive in the grey area where there is no such thing as wrong - just measured.
This week I decided to open the door on a few of these parts of fantasy football gaming, just in case you didn’t know such things were going on around you. Just as iron sharpens iron, this can only make your tools that much sharper as the year progresses on, making you that much more knowledgeable when crunch time happens. Yes, my ‘compost analogy’ has come full circle, by telling you that planting the ‘information’ seeds now, fertilize with that ‘knowledge’ compost so you can pick the fruits of your labor when selecting your team when the season arrives.
Beckham is twenty-six years old entering his sixth year in the NFL. During those six years, Beckham failed to eclipse 1,000 yards only once. That was in 2017 when Odell spent most of the year on IR. Last year, Beckham was only on the field for twelve games. He tallied 1,052 yards on 77 receptions and reached the end zone six times. Project those numbers over a sixteen-game season and those numbers look great (103/1,402/8). Beckham’s career yards per reception is 14.0 for his career. He averages 92.8 yards per game. He’s a supreme talent that can lead the league in most receiving statistical categories.