BACK ROW SHOW BANDITS!
by Dan Rosier (@theBleagueSays)
We are back and Week 1 is done. Dusted. Totaled. In the books. Finito. It’s over and we are ready to roll into Week 2 with gusto, machismo and all the hype carried over.
Yes, indeed the NFL proved that results may vary for those we touted for 8 months. Grinding tape, studying metrics and numbers. All of it was chewed up and processed and some did well, some did not - but they all lived to fight another day.
Josh Jacobs. Marquise Brown. A.J. Brown. Kyler Murray. D.K. Metcalf. Terry McLaurin. Gardner Minshew. T.J. Hockenson - welcome to the NFL! How easy is it?! Pretty easy right? Alternatively, Mecole Hardman. Myles Sanders. David Montgomery. Noah Fant. How hard is the NFL?!
Dak Prescott is getting paid, probably, if he keeps this form up. But it was against the New York Giants and he now has the formid... Redskins. He gets the Washington Redskins on the road. I too would not sign a new deal until a decent matchup comes my way. Just keep racking them numbers up on and off the field, Dak.
Lamar Jackson went bonkers, albeit against the weak as water Miami Dolphins. Jackson, and Brown, and Ingram, and Andrews tore them up and it should be no different this week when the Dolphins see Tom Brady leading an impressive-looking Patriots team into town.
Speaking of Patriots how bad did they make the Brown and Bell-less Steelers look? 3 points? Crikey that’s appalling!
Chris Carson showed he could catch it, Austin Ekeler showed he could run it, Christian McCaffrey and Saquon Barkley showed they can do it all and why they are the creme de la creme, while the Rams showed their hand with their backfield; it’s a committee, another committee... great!
Sammy Watkins, Josh Gordon, LeSean McCoy, DeSean Jackson, Delanie Walker, Danny Amendola, Vernon Davis, and John Brown turned the clock back to 2014, ironically that was the last time all their collective hamstrings worked without issues at the same time.
John Ross repaid (finally) his expensive draft capital and had himself a day, and Tyreek Hill looks set to miss time. It doesn’t matter why anymore. It matters that Karma is real and we should all probably sleep with one eye open from now on.
Where’s the dawg pound at?! Are the Bears still favorites for the North?! Miami can’t even pretend they aren’t tanking just a little, can they?! My god I could go all week with this! What a week! Here’s what I know, a lot happened. The above is just a snippet, and Week 2 holds true to follow up and be just as fantastic. Here’s what we are on this week:
Gardner Minshew came into the fold for Nick Foles and looked solid, however, he gets the rebounding Texans on a short week after a stiff loss to New Orleans on Monday. I think Leonard Fournette will be fine and looked solid in the receiving game too, and there was a cluster of receivers that popped up and chipped in (Dede Westbrook, D.J. Chark and Chris Conley) so don't panic on your Jaguars just yet - I think they’ll be fine.
Speaking of fine, I’m sure the burning house that Antonio Brown moved into in New England is fine. He gets the Miami Dolphins, that's if he is allowed to suit up. But the Patriots are -19.5 against the spread this week (which I still think they’ll cover with ease) and yet it still feels like that's not enough whether Brown plays or not...
I believe we will see more from Tyler Lockett this week because let's face it there was literally nothing to see except one reception against the (improved, I guess) Bengals in Week 1. In the same game this week, Dante Moncrief will be looking to put that performance in the past, so the bounce-back could be on. Otherwise, we could be seeing him taking a backseat to Diontae Johnson sooner than later, so maybe grab him (in deeper league formats) a week earlier than what could be anticipated.
The Chiefs are without Tyreek Hill and Sammy Watkins could care less, but who plays second fiddle at Receiver opposite him is anyone's guess. They travel to Oakland who looked solid. My guess is that Mecole Hardman gets some more chances but LeSean McCoy and Damien Williams could get more opportunities both on the ground and through the air instead. Grab Hardman while you can and take the ‘wait and see’ approach. He’s $4800 already on Draft Kings - I’d rather Christian Kirk ($4500 at Baltimore), John Ross ($4600 vs San Francisco) or Jamison Crowder ($4700 vs Cleveland) who are in the same price range.
Stack your Bills in DFS too! Josh Allen, John Brown and Cole Beasley are as cheap as chips on the road against the New York Giants, who were just torched by Dallas. I know that Buffalo isn’t Dallas, but the Giants are still the Giants so that looks like the contrarian play.
I like the Colts on the road in Tennessee, who pushed the Chargers into overtime in Week 1. The Titans beat the Brissett-lead Colts both times in 2017 but he looks much more stable (and so does that Franchise as a whole) than he did last time, and the Titans incredible win in Cleveland could be a mirage. The Colts have +3 points on the spread, which could be something to watch as the week carries on.
There’s no Quincy Enunwa, and there’s no Chris Herndon yet for the New York Jets. There is Jamison Crowder though, who was pummeled with a 17-14-99 stat line. Again, don’t expect it to be pretty, but volume like that is invaluable in PPR formats if he is there on your Waiver Wire go get him now.
Speaking of injured again… Hunter Henry has succumbed to another knee issue, which makes Mike Williams a screaming ‘buy’ right now - if you can get him. In 2018, Williams had a 14-8-7 TD performance in the opposition Red Zone (24th overall amongst those with a 10 target minimum), and while Hunter Henry is out, I can imagine that this is where Williams picks up more work. He gets the Detroit Lions this week who were so-so against a Cardinals team which showed something.
And there you have it!
Make sure you check in with the podcast this week which will be jam-packed full of IDP, Dynasty, and Redraft goodness and when you do download the episode - make sure you subscribe, rate, review and share! Shout out to Sharpfootballstats.com, Pro-Football-reference.com, draftkings.com, and Mybookie.ag for the stats and numbers for this week's article!