By – Chris Foster (@footballnuke)
Lev Bell, NYJ – I don’t care if Bell says he is 100% healthy. I do not feel good about the year off and I don’t like the offense that Bell’s new head coach Matt Nagy runs. Add to that a New York Jets offensive line that is below average and I think Bell is going to underachieve. It is almost time for him to realize the grass is not greener away from Pittsburgh.
Alshon Jeffery, PHI – Not since 2014 have I trusted his ability to stay healthy and productive. In the past four years, Jeffery’s averaged 815 yards receiving and 5 touchdowns on 57 receptions. I can go with guys that have more upside than Alshon in the seventh or eighth round. Here’s some guys I’d take over Jeffery: Robbie Anderson, DJ Moore, Dante Pettis, Christian Kirk and Marvin Jones.
Tevin Coleman/J. McKinnon/M. Breida, SF – Coleman appears to be the frontrunner for the top spot, but the 49ers are going to have to find touches for both McKinnon and Brieda, both of whom are too talented to not get the ball. RB committee in full effect.
Sammy Watkins, KC – Always hurt and never comes through when expected to. Tyreek Hill appears to be clear of the legal system (although the NFL could still render a suspension). Hill and Kelce are the clear first and second options. That makes Watkins your WR3 at best – an oft-injured WR3 at that.
Draft but have a backup plan – with the guys below, don’t draft them at their ADP but grab them cheaper if you can. If you do pick them up, make sure you have a backup plan.
Todd Gurley, LAR – It really is a shame that Gurley has this chronic injury issue with the arthritic knee. It is possible that we have seen Gurley’s best years on the football field already, even though he is only 24 years old. With that said, it is also possible that Gurley could still be productive, although I do not think he will ever be as productive as he was. The Rams backfield might become one where Gurley still sees a healthy portion of carries but Malcolm Brown and Darrell Henderson play significant roles. That’s the way the wind is blowing, so if you scoop up Gurley (late), make sure you pick up Brown or Henderson. For me, I’ll be watching camp closely to see if I can figure out who the true RB2 is, and then I will draft accordingly.
Damien Williams, KC – it is probably not a good idea to pick up Damien Williams at his current ADP. If I can get him a bit later in the draft, I would be okay with that. If I do draft Williams, I will try to back the selection up by handcuffing him to Carlos Hyde or I will take a flyer on another running back who could see action this year. Someone like Latavius Murray, Nyheim Hines or even Alexander Mattison later on.
There you have it. Agree or disagree, I want to know what you think! Who are the guys that are on your “do not draft list”?